Pick of the Day - 4/1/25 (Tuesday)

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You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including ROI, Average Odds, Units Won written into the comment. No resetting records.

For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the Daily Discussion posts.

Example Pick Template

Record:

Net Units:

ROI:

Sport | League | Event Time / Time Zone

Pick: Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.

Write Up: This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.

POTD Record: 32-14

Form (oldest to newest): ✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅

Lack Pick: Paris FC vs. Caen - Paris FC ML (-165) ✅

Paris could have won that with 9 men and 4 leg amputations. Thanks for the free money Vegas, onwards.

Today’s Pick: Arsenal vs Fulham - BTTS (+135)

I get some complaints from time to time that a lot of my picks are in the -140 and up range, and people want more juice. Well, here’s some juice for y’all. I think the bookmakers have this one wrong, this should be around -130 in my opinion.

I don’t think anyone doubts Arsenal’s ability to score at home so I won’t spend too much time yapping about it. Arsenal has scored in 22 of their last 25 home games. In the last 2 games that they were held scoreless, they were without Saka, who is the oil for the Arsenal machine. He is back and expected to play tomorrow. In the third scoreless home match for Arsenal, they had 13 shots with 5 on target. They should have scored. This was an anomaly and we won’t delve into it.

Fulham is where I think the bookmakers have it wrong. They themselves are at +110 to score. This Fulham team is great on the road and love to find the back of the net. They have scored in their last 17 away games, and 19 of their last 20 away games. They just find a way over and over again. Fulham also has a historically strong track record against Arsenal, not having lost to them since March 2023 both home and away. They are dealing with some injuries right now, but Jimenez, Willian, and Iwobi are all available and attacking threats.

BTTS has hit in their last 4 H2H matchups at Arsenal, and 6 of their last 7 H2H. I see no reason why that trend shouldn’t continue.

Tread lightly here and godspeed.

BEST OF LUCK.

NBA POTD 36-23-1 (+11.22U) edit formatting/record

Last:

HOU @ LAL u226.5 2.5U at -105  ✅

Today:

TOR @ CHI u239.5 3U at -110 (Fanatics/DK)

We are going back to the well with an under in a b2b travel spot. The Bulls enter this game coming in from OKC. Josh Giddey may not play this game. He has perpetually been on the injury report with hip soreness and injury management. He is a pace up player and an over player for the Bulls. We have two top 10 under teams in this matchup.

Since the all star break the Raptors are the #1 ranked defence, the Bulls rank 9th. RJ Barrett and Agbaji are out for the Raptors. Kevin Huerter is questionable for the Bulls.

Looking back at the previous 3 matchups

Game 1: Bulls win 122-121 in Toronto (total opened at 240.5 and closed at 239.5)

Game 2: Bulls win 122-106 in Toronto (total opened at 231.5 and closed at 233.5)

Game 3: Bulls win 125-115 (OT) in Chicago (total opened at 234.5 and closed at 233.5)

Game 3 is most telling for me. A game played in early March with a closing total of 233.5. Yes, it went over due to overtime. That game goes way under with no OT. And I have no idea why a month later the total is priced 6 points higher.

Most importantly I have the game projected at 227 so a big fat edge to the under. BOL!

POTD Record: 11-4

Units Won: +7.0 u

Current Form Last 5 (Recent to old): ❌✅✅✅✅

Last Pick: Laslo Djere (-125) ML vs Mariano Navone ❌-L

All picks are 1u unless stated otherwise

Event: ATP Marrakech

Today's pick: Pavel Kotov ML (-120) DK vs Mattia Bellucci❌-L

Explanation:

This was the pick I have been wanting to post since Sunday but the game kept getting pushed back, it opened as +105 and has moved all the way to -135 in some books. Anyways, I am going to state the obvious, Pavel Kotov is fat and he is a bum. However, he has been such a bum this year that he needs money for his groceries. You don't get in the way of Kotov and his food. Bellucci on the other hand is a certified bum. I know I throw that term willy nilly but this guy after playing ADM forgot how to play tennis. If you watch him play, it's like he has amnesia for most of the game because it looks like he forgets he has to put the ball between the lines not outside of it. Kotov also reached the semis of this tournament last year so I like him to beat Bellucci and go to the buffet straight afterwards.

EDIT

Alright, I deserve some shit for this pick, sorry to anyone that tailed. Much like yesterday the guys I pick can't return a damn serve with only 2 break points in the entire match played. Again, my bad on anyone that tailed, I am gonna have to take a break until the t30 players come back to play because I am costing people money picking on these bums.

POTD

Record: 4-1-0

Net Units: +1.85

Last Pick: Mets ML W

Event: MLB: Mets @ Marlins

Pick: Mets ML -148 1U

Write Up: Still waiting on Mondays pick to close out, will update record following that.

We are back on the Mets again today. While the pitching match up is tighter than yesterday I still feel the Mets have the edge and… have the better line up offensively (Lindor should be back). While Senga was not impressive last season, that was in the playoffs against the World Series dodgers team and a strong Phillies team. I expect him to have a solid 2025 after a healthy off season.

Good luck!

POTD Record: 10-3 (4.29 units)

Last 5: ✅✅❌✅❌

Last Pick: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek Under 18.5 games(-155) (1.55U to win 1U) (HR) ❌

League/Event: 🎾 ATP Houston

Time: 3:00PM EST

Pick: Daniel Elahi Galan ML (-140) vs Mackenzie McDonald(1.4U to win 1U) (HR)

Galan has played mostly Challanger this year but almost all of his matches have been on clay. He's got 2 clay titles so far this year albeit at the Challanger level.

Mcdonald comes in at decent form up and down as usual but lost to a semi pro Kyrgios last match. The main reason I like this is that he's lost his last ELEVEN clay matches dating back to 2022! This is green clay so it's a bit faster than normal clay courts. H2H is also in favor of Galan on clay but that was way back in 2021.

Overall, clay merchant vs a guy going on 3 years without a win is too good to pass up here.

BOL!

Record 27-8-5 (W/L/P)
Net Units: +67.7
Last 10: ✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅

Rays -1 Asian Handicap
5U
Odds 1.71
7:05 PM EST

I still update the tracker for full transparency.

Thomas Harrington is on the bump for the Pirates. He is making his major league debut today. I expect the Rays to light him up.

The Pirates’ Home/Away splits are putrid when playing away.

• Home Games:
• Earned Run Average (ERA): 4.00
• Home Runs Allowed: 79

• Away Games:
• Earned Run Average (ERA): 4.70
• Home Runs Allowed: 81

Almost a full run higher when playing away. Their pitchers, other than Skenes, suck; and their bullpen is no bueno.

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Fade the Pirates.

On the other hand; the Rays look like a really good team again with a really low payroll. In my opinion, Junior Caminero will be in the ASG, he is such an underrated third basemen, and the Rays offense revolves around him. Jonathan Aranda is batting well, and Jake Mangum is looking like the Rays’ revelation of the season so far. For the Rays, Shane Baz is on the mound, an extremely young pitcher with a promising 3.05 ERA and a really really solid 1.06 WHIP.

I fully believe the Rays get this done.

BOL. Tail responsibly.

TRACKER

🏅 Pick of the Day - March 31st, 2025.🏅

Record: 1-0 (+1 units)

Previous Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ✅

Todays Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees ML

Event: MLB

Odds: +100 (Bet365)

Feels nice to start 1-0 on this thread after following for quite some time. Rockies went up 1-0 in the 6th, but Phillies brought it right back with 4 Runs in the 7th and then ran away with it for a comfortable cash out on the -1.5 Runline!

Write up:

Almost feels like we won’t see this line very often. I’m not backing Will Warren as much as I am the Yankees hitting. The Yankees are absolutely blazing hot scoring 36 runs in 3 games against the brewers. It’s a small sample size but Yankees are batting .302 against RHP so far. Give me the Yankees as the slight underdog to win at home!

Also forgot to mention on last pick, all bets are to win 1 unit. Unless I state i am placing more than 1 unit.

BOL, and only bet what you can afford!

Record: 14-5-0

Previous Picks: ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Previous POTD: Travis Konecny over 0.5 points vs Predators ✅

Today's POTD: St Louis Blues over 2.5 team score vs Red Wings

Odds: -185

Event: NHL Regular Season @ 8:00 PM EST

Write-Up: The Blues and Red Wings played each other once this season, and the Blues put up a 4 goal shutout. They average 3 goals a game on the season, and over the last 10 games are 9-1 and  have been averaging 4.2 goals per game. The Red Wings are letting up 3.2 goals per game, which helps our case. Additionally, with the postseason around the corner, the Blues are pushing for a wild card/playoff spot, so getting points and wins will be important to them. The Blues have been improving on power play, which is a strength against Detroit’s weak penalty kill and shaky goaltending. Given the Blues’ ability to capitalize on defensive lapses and Detroit’s tendency to play in high-scoring games, they should have plenty of opportunities to find the back of the net.

Record 72 - 56 (-4.79u)

Last 10 : ❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅

Last Pick : Aston Villa to win and under 4.5 goals ✅

Today's Pick :

Football | England | Premier League

Match : Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United

Pick🎯 : 𝗡𝗼𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴𝗵𝗮𝗺 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗪𝗜𝗡 𝗼𝗿 𝗗𝗥𝗔𝗪 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗧𝗼𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗨𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝟯.𝟱 𝗚𝗼𝗮𝗹𝘀 @1.89 (4u)

Nottingham Forest have been really strong at home this season and are sitting third in the league. They score 1.64 goals per home game and only let in 0.71, which shows how solid they are defensively. They haven't lost in their last five home matches, and the last three all had under 3.5 goals. With their good form and strong defense, they’ll feel good about their chances in this one.

Manchester United haven’t been great this season and are struggling in 13th place. Their away form isn’t much better—they only score 1.14 goals per game while letting in 1.07. They’ve won just one of their last four away games, and three of those had under 3.5 goals. Their attack hasn’t been sharp, and breaking down Forest’s defense won’t be easy.

With Forest playing well at home and United struggling away, this should be a tight game. Forest’s defense makes it hard for teams to score, and United aren’t in great form. A Nottingham win or draw with under 3.5 goals looks like a good bet.

BOL!

POTD RECORD: 140-101

Last POTD: Domantas Sabonis O29.5 PR @1.71 ✅

Todays POTD: Karl-Anthony Towns O22.5 P @1.83 (Bet365)

L11: 3-8

NBA | Knicks | 🏀

Domas absolutely feasted and cleared it in the 3rd quarter, still work to do we move.

First of all I understand that the spread in this game is scary hence why we get this line, but the Sixers won’t have anyone to stop him and KAT usually sees 30+ minutes even in big blowouts cause of how Thibs runs his teams

With 30+ minutes he’s over in 13/L20 games avg 24.9 PPG

Brunson is still out, without Brunson he’s over in 10/13 games and gets a big usage boost without him. He’s Avg 18+ FGA without Brunson & with 18+ FGA he’s over in 10/L10 games, hoping he gets the same kind of volume here

Sixers have allowed 2nd most points in the restricted area this season where KAT is scoring 44% of his buckets from, they’re also ranked 29th in defending above the break 3s this season where KAT gets another 30% of his scoring from

Over the L30 games they’ve allowed 2nd most points in the NBA to opposing Centers

Great matchup for KAT as the 76ers doesn’t have any size to stop him, ultimately we’re hoping that he gets going early and gets it done before the 4th if there is a blowout

If this gets bumped I do like his 1.5 threes aswell

EDIT: 23.5 still playable but I’d lower my stake

Tail or fade, up to you

POTD Records: 27-17

Net profit: +10.88u

Last 10: ✖️✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✅✖️

Last pick: Copenhagen vs Randers BTTS 1.85 | 1u✖️

Event: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United

POTD: Forest Draw no Bet 1.75 | 2u

Forest are coming off a FA Cup quarter-final win against Brighton—which was another solid performance from them. Now back on home turf, they remain unbeaten in their last 10 home matches. They have made the City Ground a tough place for any opponent.

Meanwhile, Manchester United have shown some solid performances recently. They are unbeaten in their last seven matches. Their run includes a win over Real Sociedad, a draw against Arsenal, and a victory over Ipswich despite having red card.

However, Nottingham Forest have been one of the season's surprise packages, taking down several strong teams. They even defeated Manchester United at Old Trafford earlier this season. Chris Wood’s injury is a setback for Forest, But I think Forest are still capable of winning without him.

Record: 110-104 Net Units: -2.04. 3-2 on 1.5u plays, 20-15 on 2u plays, 1-0 on 3u plays. All picks 1 unit, unless stated otherwise.

Last event: Soccer/Football, [Romania Superliga] U. Cluj vs CFR Cluj Last pick: BTTS @ 2.10 LOST 2.6 xG can't score, love to see it

Event: Soccer/Football, [Spain Copa Del Rey] Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Pick: total corners over 9.5 @ 1.80 - 1.5 Units

16 corners in the first leg, both teams can generate corners as they are top of the table in corners in La Liga - 5.60 for Madrid (10 total), 5.40 for Real Sociedad (10.10 total). The two teams have met in the league as well in a game that had 12 corners. Real Sociedad are down a goal here so we can expect them to try to attack, whereas Real Madrid won't sit on a 1 goal lead. Real Madrid have currently cleared this line in last 8/9 games in all competitions, with them not in perfect form can see them allowing plenty chances here.

Record: 81-55-1

2025 record: 8-4

Last pick: Celta Vigo vs Las Palma BTTS @1.87 ✅

3 in a row!

Today’s pick: Blackpool vs Reading BTTS @1.76(3u)

We’ve got the best home BTTS team in the league, Blackpool (68%) going up against the 3rd best away BTTS team Reading (72%).

Also Blackpool have failed to score at home in only 26% of their games while reading have failed to score on 28% of their away games.

BTTS has hit in 2/3 times Blackpool hosted reading, with two matches being high scoring at 4-1 each.

Record: (17-11) [+6.67]

POTD: 🏀NCAAB Villanova ML (-165) [Betonline]

Units: 1.65 Units

Start Time: 8:30pm EST (FS1)

My thought process: Now before anyone questions it I know Villanova is without their head coach but I believe Interim coach Mike Nardi will be able to lead the Wildcats to victory and the Wildcats have more talent on their roster so I am betting on the players playing not the coaches. The big12 looked rough in the first day of the CBC while the big east looked good with Utah losing to Butler and with this matchup with a worse big12 team and a better big east team I cant deny this matchup as I believe the Wildcats being without their head coach is the only reason why the odds are close in this game. The Villanova Wildcats (19-14) are coming into this matchup finishing 6th out of 11 in the big east with a conference record of 11-9 in the big east. The Colorado Buffaloes (14-20) finished last in the big12 out of 16 teams and had a conference record of 3-17. Villanova has some quality wins this year with wins over Cincinnatii by 8, Uconn by 2, Xaiver by 12, Marquette by 15 and the big east champs St Johns by 2. Colorado only has one real quality wins with a win over Uconn early in the year in November of 2024, their team went on a steady decline after that, going on a 13 game losing streak when conference play started. One thing that sticks out to me is that there is a net ranking difference of 31 between these two teams and you usually dont get a net ranking differential of 25-30+ and the odds not being -200 or lower so the ML at -165 sticks out to me. Villanova has the edge in PPG, oPPG, FG%, FT% (#5 in nation), Turnovers, NET & RPI. I am expecting Eric Dixon and the Wildcats to run past the Buffaloes in this matchup and compete for a share of NIL money for the top 4 teams in this tournament.

Prediction: Villanova 75-68

Last pick: 🏀 Nebraska -2.5 💰 The transfers and lack of depth definitely hurt Arizona State in this matchup, playing with just 7 scholarship players and with their starting center fouling out playing with just 6 scholarship players down the stretch made the difference. I am going to fall in love with this new tournament lets fuckin cash another one on this tourney tomorrow congrats if you tailed!🍻💰

Best of luck to all tailing and always remember to bet responsibly! If you would like to send me a tip shoot me a dm and Ill send over my venmo, crypto or whatever works best for you :) 🟣🐉

Previous 10 picks:

1. 1u +165 Vanderbilt ML 💩

2. 2.2u -142 Houston ML + RJ Cryer 10+ Points 💰

3. 1.5u -125 Alabama -4.5 💰

4. 1.45u -145 Toronto Leafs 60 Min ML 💰

5. 1.3u -130 Devils ML + U 7.5 💩

6. 1.45u -145 Toronto 60 min ML + U 3.5 San Jose Goals💩

7. 1.5u -110 Las Vegas -1.5 💰

8. 2u Florida -5.5 💩🪝

9. 1.5u -150 Athletics vs Mariners NRSI 💰

10. 2u -182 Nebraska -2.5💰

NBA POTD 7-2

Last Pick: Heat -5.5 Alt Line at $1.62

Todays Pick: Bucks -6.5

Alright I'm gonna look like a suns hater since ive bet against them a lot butttttttt

I was writing that I was taking an alt line, but I was writing it out I was like hell na, the suns dont have KD, this may sound like an okay so what? This dude has literally been the sole reason for all of the suns wins, the fact this is not at -7.5 or -9.5 is mind blowing. Now look I understand the suns are DESPERATE to win as they face the Celtics next, and need to win to stay in the Play in as they are one game behind the kings

But the truth is their ASS like what? In that Suns home game win streak KD had to carry I mean carry this team, 26 points, 8 Assists against the bulls stops the hot bulls team, Cleveland TOP SEED? 42 Points, 8 Assists, 38 Points, 5 Assists against the Bucks btw that's nearly half of this teams dam team total points at 108 vs the Bucks at 106 and then 30 points against the Celtics and 23 Points to the Wolves. My favorite part, thats so funny to me 23 minutes injured with 11 points, no one scored higher then 11 but Devin Booker at 28.

Now dont get me started, Grayson Allen has been doing the same mistake passing mid air turning it over, and one that's unseen NICK RICHARDS. This man for whatever reason is not on the same wave length at the moment, maybe this may change with him needing to step up and learning from his mistakes, but he has messed up easy layups, not screening correctly where it forces teams to take the wrong shots or even better turning the ball over. Tyus Jones is also a defensive liability, Collin Gillespie has 0 confidence in himself even though hes an amazing shooter. And please don't get me started on Ryan Dunn yes he had a cool dunk, but hes a rookie same with Oso yes these guys are amazing for rookies but they simply do not know how to cut or score, with so many miscommunications that happen commonly, this can literally be seen with grabbing a rebound when shooting free throws, yes they somehow miss those boards. Not only this, but coach Buds completely COOKED THIS TEAMS CONFIDENCE LMFAO he has not played bol bol at all yes the man who dropped 20 bombs 3 games in a row to now play yes 17, 1 ,6 ,6, 9 minutes.

Not only this but the Bucks got destroyed by the hawks this is a great chance to gain momentum against this suns team. Especially when you get blown out by 21, I'm sure they want to show their not a joke.

I also love that the Bucks lost the to the Suns originally, it forces teams to get back, or be serious especially when they whine and trash talk to each other. Now the best part is KD is injured, and yes this guy Devin Booker cries about getting double teamed. I also think the fact they have lost there last 3 in yes 20-30 deficits, makes team moral know that they are so done for especially when your best player is now gone.

Also the Bucks Schedule also plays some bad teams but they want the fifth seed which they are 2 games behind, so I expect this to still be taken seriously. The only concern there is is how hot the suns can get hot Royce, Allen, Tyus deadly streaky shooters. But I love a guaranteed bucket which is Giannis, who is going to guard him not only this but the Bucks play at home. And shooters (AJ Green, Gary Treant Jr, Kevin Porter Jr) love a home crowd especially the young rookie Ryan Rollins, the giant Brook Lopez has also looked good against the nuggets where he had no one same with Prince. Overall this suffocating defense and I think guaranteed bucket Giannis and losing to the Suns before creates a amazing opportunity to get a great win

Cricket 🏏 Picks

Last pick was a loss

(10 wickets in first inning and only 2 in second. Lost by only one wicket 😓, anyways it was bound to happen after 6 straight wins. We move on.)

Overall: 40💰- 21 ❌

+9.57

Last 10: L W W W W W W L W ♻️

Todays pick

New Zealand 🇳🇿 v Pakistan 🇵🇰

Oneday International

Starts in about 20 Hours

Pick: Total runs under 540.5 @ 1.9

(Total match runs for both teams combined)

Record: 83W-4P-64L

✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅

Pick: Celta Vigo  over 4.5 Totsl Shots on target @ 1.70 ✅

7 shots on target

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pick: José Sa over 2.5 Goalkeepr saves @ 1.68

League -  Premier league 

Game: Wolverhampton vs Westham

Time - 3:00 PM

Lets keep at em

Keeping this short for now then will update when i have more time.

We’ve entered the run in the prem, and that’s when teams become a little less reserved. Expecting West ham to have their shooting boots on and push Jose Sa to be at his best tomorrow.

Sa has covered this line in 4 out of his last 6 games and I see that continuing tomorrow.

Anyway BOL

Record: 2-1

Net Units: +1.59u

Last Pick: Paris FC -1 ✅

Today:

Football/Soccer | Premier League | 2:45 PM ET | Arsenal vs Fulham

Pick: o2.5 total goals +103 (2.03) betonline

Units: 3u

Recap of Yesterday’s Pick:

Wow does it feel great to hit 2 in a row! Paris FC got up early, and it was never really a contest. Almost made me sweat with Caen’s two garbage time goals, but Paris FC was always taking care of business in that matchup. Caen continue to dig themselves into a deeper and deeper whole every week. Paris FC continue to push for direct promotion. It was a great spot, and we took full advantage! Great even money winner!

Write Up:

Now onto today’s pick. Today, I have 5 words that summarize this pick. “The return of Bukayo Saka.” A long-awaited day for the gunners, especially with their struggles to score of late in the Premier League. This is the spark that they so desperately needed. Mikel Arteta was asked if Bukayo Saka was fit enough to start the match tomorrow against Fulham to which he responded, “yeah.” If you’re an Arsenal fan, you have to be jumping up and down right now! Bukayo Saka seems to be back just in time for the final stretch of their season. Their most influential player despite being out for the past 3 months. He has the second most big chances created in the league (19) only behind Mohamed Salah, and he hasn’t played since December. 15 direct goal contributions in 16 games so far this season, again, only second to Mohamed Salah. This is a breath of fresh air for Arsenal. They don’t have much to play for in the Premier League in all honesty as they are well behind Liverpool in the title race (12 points back) as well as having a 10 point cushion in the race for direct champions league qualification for next year. They do, however, have a Champions League matchup in one week against Real Madrid. They’ll want to get their starters involved in the two premier league games leading up to this beautiful clash to ensure that the team is firing on all cylinders, especially after the long international break. Think of their matchups against Fulham and Everton this week as an opportunity for Arsenal to boost their confidence and arrive to the big day with Real Madrid in good form. The vibes at Emirates Stadium must be immaculate for the match tomorrow! The return of their franchise player and the appointing of a new sporting director in Andrea Berta from Atletico Madrid both in the same week. Expect Arsenal to enjoy their football tomorrow.

Fulham, their rival, have a lot to play for. This game will not be a brush over for Arsenal. Fulham are currently sitting 3 points outside of Europa League spots. They cannot afford to drop many points from now until the end of the season if they want to aspire to play continental football next season. The FA Cup was their lifeline with 5 of the Big 6 already eliminated in the competition, but after falling to Crystal Palace earlier this weekend and getting eliminated from the competition, the Premier League is their only avenue to European football for next year. Expect them to push for points in this encounter.

Arsenal are averaging exactly 2 goals per game in league play at home this season even despite recent struggles. Fulham are averaging exactly 1.5 goals away from home in league play this season. Lastly, 12 of the last 17 games between these two teams have gone over the 2.5 goals mark. The same is true for 5 of the last 8 when Arsenal is the home team in this rivalry.

Pick: Take the over 2.5 total goals in plus money. 3u

Prediction: Arsenal 3-1 Fulham

BOL!

HEFTYSTEW POTD TRACKER

Record: 12-6

Net Units: +6.29

Last Pick: Navy @ America Over 131.5 (-115) 2u ❌

Post Pick Summary: Made a bunch of parlay your bracket FanDuel bets and needed to let those settle before jumping back in here.

Event: NHL | Red Wings @ Blues | 7:00 PM CST

Pick: Blues 60 min ML (-120) 2u

Write-up: Time to shake the cobwebs off with W.

Blues are hot right now and I don’t think Detroit is going to be the team to cool them off. Granted 4 of their last wins have been against the Nashville and Chicago who have no shot at getting into the playoffs. I still see Blues having a similar game to their last meeting in December.

Blues have been winning decisively so I see little chance of this game going to OT.

Some things to look out for: Colton Parayko is out this game. The last time the Blues played the Red Wings Parayko was on the ice for all four goals in their 4-0 shutout and assisting in two of those goals.

Pick Result: Pending

POTD Record: 27W-15L-2P

🏆🏆✖️✖️✖️🏆🏆🏆✖️✖️🏆🏆✖️🏆✖️🏆✖️✖️✖️✖️🏆🏆🏆✖️🏆🏆🏆🏆✖️🏆✖️🔄🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🔄🏆🏆🏆✖️🏆❔

Units:11.78 ROI: 26.76%

Last pick: Volendam ML at 1.80 🏆

Today's game: Cambridge vs Wrexham (England League One)

Pick: Wrexham ML at 1.72 | 1u

Wrexham are in 2nd place in the league, the place which gets them automatic promotion without any playoff games. They are 3 points ahead of 3rd place Wycombe, but Wycombe has one less game, so Wrexham needs to win today as well to keep ahead and will want to get the win today especially against a second from the bottom team without many hopes of not getting relegated (they are 11 points behind the last team to avoid relegation with only 7 games to go). Apart from that, Wrexham have a good run of form in recent games, winning 5 of their last 6 games, 3 of the wins being in away games.

Cambridge (#23) did manage 2 draws in their last 2 games, but they were a 1-1 against #19 Northampton (a lucky draw I would say as Cambridge had no shots at all in the first half of the game), another team that fights to stay above the relegation zone, and a 1-1 draw against #11 Barnsley, a team that experienced a bad run with 3 losses in a row before the draw against Cambridge.

Wrexham in their last 3 games have 3 wins in a row, managing to beat #5 Stockport and #3 (now) Wycombe, "slightly" better teams than Cambridge, and a 2-0 win away against Exeter who managed only one shot on target. Did I say that Wrexham managed to keep clean sheets in all their 5 recent wins? They must be doing something well in defense too.

POTD Record: 1-0

Net Units: +2u

ROI: 100%

Last Pick: Dodgers -1.5 vs. Braves (W)

POTD: Yankees vs. Diamondbacks over 8 runs (-118 DK) 6:05 PM CST (3 units)

Write Up: Arizona is averaging 6.75 runs/game so far in 2025 and the Yankees are starting Will Warren who had a 10.32 ERA in 2024. Even though things are looking up for him he still needs to make improvements. Arizona could hit this over on their own not to mention the Yankees and their new torpedo bats mashing the baseball. Even with Corbin Burnes out there for Arizona the Yankees are bound to score some runs.

I would be surprised if the over didn’t hit given how each of these teams have started the season.

BOL

Record: 103-88, -3.38 units

Last Pick: Taha Baadi +7.5 games vs Roberto Carballes Baena (-116, 1 unit) ✅

Tennis | ATP Marrakech | 7:00 AM EST

Today's Pick: Jesper De Jong vs Elliot Benchetrit | Benchetrit +6.5 games at -150 (DraftKings). 1 unit.

Write-up: Pretty easy cover for Baadi. The first game was pretty wild with over 9 deuces, and painted a picture of what most of the match would end up looking like.

For today's pick, I've actually found another big underdog spread that I think there's some value in, as I'm going with Elliot Benchetrit to cover against Jesper De Jong. While Benchetrit currently plays primarily on the Futures tour, that wasn't actually always the case, as he made the second round of Roland Garros in 2019 and reached a career high ranking of No. 198 in the world in 2020 before falling out of form. However, even as Benchetrit has seen his ranking slip into the 600s, he continues to put in solid performances against top players every year here in Marrakech, where he has gotten a wildcard every year since switching his flag from France to Morrocco. Last year, he took on Pavel Kotov and came back from 5-1 down in the first set to post a respectable 5-7, 3-6 scoreline; in 2023, he covered this spread in a 6-4, 6-4 loss to Munar, and in 2022, he faced a gargantuan task against Felix Auger-Aliassime but still managed to cover this spread with a 6-3, 6-3 loss. Slow clay and high altitude seem to be the perfect conditions for Benchetrit's game, and De Jong really struggled to adjust to the altitude when he played two weeks in Kigali about a month ago, as he entered as one of the outright favorites for both tournaments but came out of the trip with no wins and a retirement in the second event, so I think the conditions should favorite Elliot here. Combining that with the fact that Benchetrit has a solid serve, I just don't expect him to get blown out on the scoreboard here and really like him to cover.

Record: 19-12

Last five picks: ✅✅❌✅❌<— last pick here

Net Units: +6.94 units

Last Pick: TEX/CIN NRFI - under 0.5 total 1st inning runs (-125) @ 2.5 units ❌

Event: MLB ⚾ | New York Mets at Miami Marlins 6:40 PM ET

Pick: NRFI - under 0.5 total 1st inning runs (-140) @ 2.5 units

Can’t seem to rip off a winning streak here. Hopefully this one starts one!

This is an ace vs ace matchup. Yes, Senga missed the majority of last season - but was one of the best pitchers in baseball in 2023.

Alacantra has lone been pretty much one of the only if not the only bright spot on horrible Marlins squads the last few years. A prime candidate to finally make his way out Miami at some point this year, look for Sandy to have a quality start and a shutdown early part of the game.

Lindor, who sat out today due to the birth of his son, is off to a typically cold start to his season. Soto could threaten to bust this with a HR, but I like the pitching matchup for a lower scoring/close game.

Let’s cash this.

POTD Record: 2-0

Net Units: +2.3 Units

Form: ✅✅

Streak: W2

Last pick: Kyle Schwarber o1.5 total bases v. COL ✅

Baseball | MLB | Chicago Cubs at Sacramento A's | 10:05 PM EST

Pick: Luis Severino o5.5 strikeouts (+120 William Hill) 1U

Logic: Alright, so we got a little lucky with Schwarber homering off a reliever he’d never seen before in the 7th. That being said, Vodnik was still a righty and Schwarber did his thing with the platoon edge. The man is an extra-base machine. That being said, I’m not in love with total base bets because walks are not included and very much a part of the game. 

This pick is in favor of a pitcher. … with ownage of course. Yeah, the A’s just got blasted tonight (Monday) by the Cubs, but that doesn’t matter. Luis Severino owns the Cubs. 

In two starts with the Mets last season, Severino threw 14 innings against the Cubs, recording 15 strikeouts and allowing one earned run. I don’t have to tell you that’s pretty good. On top of that, the Chicago Cubs currently lead baseball in strikeouts with 60 as a team. I know they’ve played two more games than most of the competition, but the Cubs are a team with plenty of swing and miss up in their lineup. Against Severino here are some Cubs #s … PCA 0/5 two strikeouts ... Ian Happ 1/7 with four strikeouts ... Nico Hoerner 1/8 w/ one K ... Seiya Suzuki 0/3 w/ one K ... Michael Busch 0/5 w/ two Ks ... Dansby Swanson 1/5 w/ two Ks ... Justin Turner 1/4 w/ three Ks ...

I think Severino hits the over on strikeouts. BOL!

Record: 3-1-1 Net Units: + 2.83  ✅✅⏹️❌✅

Today’s POTD: Yankees/Diamondbacks Over 8 runs, -118 (DraftKings)

Last Pick: MLB Orioles -1.5 vs Red Sox, +136 (DraftKings) 

Write Up: 

Taking a break from the run lines to pick a somewhat safe & predictable over. (Knocking on wood, torpedo bat wood). There’s two main reasons I’m taking the over, both teams have strong offense, the Yankees are, well the yanks. & diamondbacks are facing a borderline unproven pitcher. I’m too chicken to take a run line bet on this game because truly I could see either team winning, but I’m almost certain it will be a strong offensive game for both teams. Maybe Warren will hold his own and prove me wrong, but with the momentum of the Yankees I’ll probably ride with them offensively until it wears off.

EDIT: W 💰

POTD Record: 0-1

Sport: Cricket 🏏 Tournament: IPL Match: LSG VS PBKS 10:00 am EST

Last Pick: Suryakumar Yadav to score 50+ = L

Today’s pick: Punjab Kings ML

Odds: (-105)

Explanation: Both teams are amazing tomorrow but Punjab will come out on top. I expect LSG’s biggest batsman Pooran to shit the bed tomorrow. He is good but he is gonna fuck up and be gone straight to locker room. Punjab bowlers will perform well. LSG already lost one game already which showed that even team like DC can play against LSG bowlers and hit boundaries looking at that Punjab is my pick.

Good luck if u decide to follow it’s your own money so don’t blame a guy u found and followed on thing called internet if you lose. We all tryna make it out at end let the games begin😉

Plus lines hockey strategy

2025 Record 23-18 +16.58 Units

My goal is to find the best plus line for hockey every night. Most nights that will be the case. Once in a while I’m not going to be picking a plus line. But given most nights will be plus lines, expect it to be volatile. My thought process is that hockey has a lot of parity, and that even the worst teams has a chance against good teams most nights. I figure even if I can hit a 40% win rate, that it will be profitable with this strategy. Batting over 500 right now with it. It wont be for the faint of heart so tail with caution.

If you care to donate to the cause it would be greatly appreciated and can be done so via paypal below
https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/vr1971mopar

Now lets get to the picks

STREAK L10: WWWWLWLLLW

All bets 1 unit

LAST PICK:   NHL / Dallas Vs Seattle / Dallas puck line -1.5 @ 2.5

2-1 game with an empty netter to cover the spread. Finally. I think the last 3 losses were all regulation without empty netters so it was refreshing to see someone finally score one. Hopefully we don’t need it for this next pick.

TODAY’S PICK: NHL / Sabers vs Senators / Sabers Money line @ 2.65

Today I’m going with a straight dog in this fight so no need to worry about covering a spread.... Both teams have played well as of late. Buffalo going 6-4 while Ottawa going 6-3-1. Both have beaten some decent competition as of late as well, but Ottawa is a playoff team and I’d expect them to. Buffalo on the other hand, well they got a 31-36-6 record but have recorded wins against Washington, Winnipeg, and Vegas in the last 10 games, all teams leading their divisions.

These teams have played each other 3 times this season so far and Buffalo has given Ottawa fits each time winning 5-1, 4-0, and 3-2.

I think this is a testament to how both their goalies have played well against the Senators this season, and in their careers. Luukkonen is 4-1 with a .919 save % against Ottawa life time (2-0 this year). While Reimer is 18-6-4 with a .925 save % lifetime (mostly from his time with Leafs and Florida) and 1-0 this season.

Past results are not an indicator of future performance as we all know.. Which is why I generally like to consider only play over last 10 games in the same season when making my picks. But given that the Sabers have gone 3-0 against the Sens this year, their great play as of late, and how well both goalies have played Ottawa, I think that 2.65 is great value here on the money line.

Monday W (+.95U)

Lifetime 2-3 (-1.00U)

Pick for 4/1

Rangers ml (-142)

*Back on track with the big 7th inning from philly. Schwarbs made me a boatload today with that bomb. Feeling pretty good about things thus far, could easily be 4-1 if not for 2 late unearned runs. Moving to the rangers tomorrow night after getting thumped today. They have the giant advantage in starting pitching, and they didn't use any high leverage guys out of the pen today because of how ugly it got. Eovaldi threw 87 really good pitches opening day so it looks like he's already pretty stretched out. Reasonable to think we get 6+ out of him. I believe in this rangers offense and think it's going to explode one of these days here soon. Might as well be tomorrow against a guy with a career 5.46 ERA in over 100 innings. Rangers should lead this one early and hopefully we don't see the backend cough it up. Let's get a little streak going

Record: 4-0( +5.01u)

LAST PICK : Phillies (-1.5)

(MLB) Diamond Backs vs Yankees O8.5 Runs

Start time: 7:05 pm EST

ODDS: -110 2u Fanduel

Write Up: The Phillies did not get an early run like I believed they would but they did get a lead and hold onto it leading to a 6-1 victory. the Phillies have been struggling to get runs in the first 5 so there maybe bets coming for that later if the lines are good. On to todays pick which is over 8.5 runs in the Diamondbacks and Yankees game. this should be a easy game to hit the over on as both teams are highly capable of scoring with both having over 25 runs scored this year. There is one glaring issue with this matchup and that is Corbin Burnes is starting for the Diamondbacks who is a very solid pitcher and could give the Yankees batters trouble. On the good side though is the Yankees are starting Will Warren who had a 10.32 era last year in six games which should allow the Diamond backs to get some runs. Expect this game to be close which should allow the over to hit.

Bol and bet at your own risk

Reddit Record: 71-48-4
Net Units: +28.11

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Previous Pick: Baltimore Orioles ML vs Boston Red Sox (-142) <- Risk 1.42u to win 1u✅

Today’s Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -1 vs Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) <- Risk 1.2u to win 1u

This is only a steal of a price on ESPNbet, should be around 6 or 7 cents lower on other books. It has not updated on their books yet that Thomas Harrington is starting for the Pirates, so there's value here. Going to continue on MLB today, and I really like this spot for the Rays. Obviously we know what unfortunately happened with the Rays and Hurricane Milton, last year which wrecked Tropicana Field, so they are playing at the Yankees' Spring Training Facility, I think this is a team that has a chip on their shoulder this entire season now. This is also pretty good for the Rays, because Tropicana Field is known for being a pitcher friendly ball-park, so maybe we see some positive regression for this Rays team?

They will be taking on Thomas Harrington as I mentioned, who was the Pirates 1st round selection in 2022, but does not have any real major league experience. The Rays will be sending out Shane Baz, who had a great season for the Rays last year, and although having a pretty bad Spring Training, baseball reference projects him to still have a 3.6 ERA, 1.16 WHIP season which are decent numbers from a starting pitcher. The Pirates are a team who basically did little to add for Skenes, getting Spencer Horwitz from the Jays and Veteran Tommy Pham. Well Horwitz's start is delayed due to injury, so this is basically the same lineup as last year, the only players that had an above average wRC+ were 38 year old Andrew McCutchen and Bryan Reynolds. I think the Rays are still an 80 win team with their losses last season, to Siri and Paredes. As long as Shane Baz stays solid, this Rays team should be able to get the job done.

BOL! Please react if tailing.

POTD Record: 4-0

Last POTD: Detroit Tigers ML +102 (W, $6.57 bet to win $6.70)

Today's POTD: Seattle Mariners -0.5 First 5 Innings Run Line -122 ($8.27 bet to win $6.78)

Game: MLB Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners 9:40 PM est (About 11 hours from now)

Starting Bankroll: $200... Current Bankroll: $238.27

The Tigers looked fantastic last night, jumping out to a 6-0 lead in the first inning and never looking back, eventually winning 9-6.

Today the Tigers are sending Casey Mize to the mound for the start. Mize is at a weird place in his career. He turns 28 next month, it feels like he gets injured every year, and he's now in his 7th year since being taken 1st overall by the Tigers back in 2018. He's also at this point where if he's pitching in the minor leagues he's dominant, but if he's pitching in the majors he's simply average.

This Spring, Mize looked incredible. He had a 1.89 ERA in over 19 innings pitched. However, to me those stats are misleading because he wasn't facing the best competition. He typically faced batters who were AAA or worse quality hitters. I have as much hope and belief in Mize as the next Tigers fan, but at this point in Mize's career there's more hype/hope in the pitcher than their are results from the pitcher.

The Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert on the mound. Gilbert last season had a misleading record with great stats. He went 9-12 with a 3.23 ERA and 220 strikeouts over 208.2 innings pitched. He was also an All Star last year while finishing 6th in the AL Cy Young voting. Gilbert picked up right where he left off last season in his first start going 7 innings and only giving up 1 run against the A's in their season opener.

Last night the offenses were on fire for both teams. Combining for 26 hits and 15 runs. For the Tigers however, it felt like they used a lot of good fortune to get those hits and runs. They had multiple infield singles, multiple broken bat singles, and multiple bloopers that happened to land between 2 or 3 fielders. Don't get me wrong, those are clean hits that I'd take any day of the week, but they also rely on some luck. I mean the Tigers 7 through 9 hitters in the lineup went 9-15, having half of the Tigers hits. I'm not sure that will happen again all season.

Everything came easy for the Tigers offense last night, and Logan Gilbert is going to make life much more difficult for them in this one. The Mariners offense hit almost everything hard last night, and Mize historically gives up 2 to 3 runs every 5 innings pitched. If those things remain true then the Mariners should be able to win the first 5 innings in this one.

Record: 0-0

Net Units: 0 units

ROI: 0 Units

Soccer | Swiss Super League | 2:30 PM Eastern

Pick: Lugano vs Yverdon BTTS/Over 2.5, 1 Unit

Odds: +110

Reasoning: Yverdon is the underdog, but they are home and have scored in their last 9 games (BYTS/Over 2.5 goals has hit in 6 of them). Yverdon also has the second worst defense in the league for total goals allowed. Lugano has been struggling of late, but are still one of the better teams in the league and currently sit in 5th, only 2 points off of third. They are only 5 points ahead of being in the relegation qualification though, and will want to be sure to avoid it.

Overall expecting a pretty high scoring game, mostly due to Yverdon’s propensity for goals of late.

As you can see, this is my first pick, so tail at your own risk. Since it’s my first write up, let me know what you think!

Record: 3W-3L

Net Units: -0.85u

Sport | League | Event Time / Time Zone : NCAAB eastern america Timezone

Pick: Villanova ML : 1u @ 1.55

Write Up: This pick is from my NCAAB model. I use it for a while now

The ones who are downvoting, please put an explanation for your downvote. I got downvoted even if my pick is correct.

Djere and kotov can easily be the two worst pick of the year, these two players did not even play hard at all

Record: 8-3

Net Units: +2.90u

Event: MLB

Pick: Guardians vs Padres | Padres ML at 1.58 1u

Write Up: Padres are red-hot this season, with a 5-0 start. They host the guardians and are looking for their sixth win of the season. I expect a Michael King masterclass as well as a slug fest for the batters. Not worried about Logan Allen on the mound and will happily bet against him. BOL if you're tailing, as you all may already know baseball can be quite volatile so bet small.

Record: 2-3

Last Pick: Jimmy Butler -Over 3.5 1sr Qtr Pts ❌

Today’s Event: NHL | Nashville Predators @ Columbus Blue Jackets | 7pm EST

POTD: Boone Jenner - Over 2.5 SOG (+108) FanDuel | 1u

Reasoning: This is a pivotal game for the Jackets. Well, all the rest of their games are pivotal if they wanna get the last wildcard playoff spot. They are fighting with 3-4 other teams for that last spot, making them highly motivated. This is also the easiest matchup they have left this season. A home game against one of the bottom 5 teams in the league. Jenner is the team captain, and has been shooting a lot lately now that he has gotten back in his groove after missing over half the year due to injury. He has hit this line in 4 of his last 5 games, and I would expect the Jackets to come out firing to take advantage of the matchup. BOL!

Record: 13-11 (+0.46u)

Last Pick: Quinn Hughes o2.5 sog (+115) ❌

Event: San Jose Sharks @ Anaheim Ducks 10:00pm EST

NHL Record: 11-8

POTD: Cutter Gauthier o2.5 sog (+128) 1u

Write up: Took a bit of time away from posting but am confident that we can come back strong with tonight’s pick of Cutter Gauthier o2.5 sog. Gauthier is the line 2 LW at home which is what has been more consistent in my experience (line 2 players over line 1 at home). He has hit this line in 4/5 of his last games, with him still having 3 shot attempts in that one miss. He is also the main shooter on his line shooting almost 30% more than Leo Carlsson and Alex Killhorn in their last 10 games.

San Jose is allowing the 3rd most sog to LW (L10 games) at 7.5 shots on goal allowed per game. They just allowed Kuzmenko 4 sog, Panarin 3 sog and McMann 6 sog. Gauthier will have more than enough opportunities to cash this line for us. If you haven’t seen me post in this thread before, the main thing about my picks that I cannot stress enough is that I choose my potd before player prop lines even drop, so on days like this I’m pleasantly surprised that we get plus odds. Pretty much don’t let odds scare you, and I hope we can build the bankroll up together.

Best of luck

POTD Record 0-0

Pick NYY Yankees vs. ARI Diamondbacks over 8.5 total runs

Reasoning: Firstly I do not trust Warren leaving last year of 0-3 and with a 10.32 ERA yes I’m sure some work has been done in the offseason but I still can account on him for letting up a few runs. Following this is the New York Bombers bats they have been red hot recently ripping through everyone they play. Yes I see the caution going against Burnes but even if he only lets up 1 or 2 there will still be another 4 or so innings of relief pitchers where I see the Yankees opportunity to strike. Hit or fade BOL

Record 43-49 (Streak 7L) ****profit 42.93u**** (massive L streak but ++$$$! check my history)

I'm back? Maybe. Do crazy with me again?
Took a couple years hiatus because of the losses getting to me. Total still + money though because of how we bet on ALTs.

All my bets are ALT lines, especially loving the ALT overs. I try to find the max value possible in betting lines to achieve a decent profit even with fewer wins. Please be careful with your bet sizing as much as you can, these are riskier picks than usual.

POTD**: click->>>>>>>> !!!!!!!!NBA - ** GSW Warriors vs MEM Grizz ALT line game total OVER 244.5 (2.75@5u)

Analysis: Actual game total over here is 236. BIG RISK - BE CAREFUL as always. I like it until o250.5. Looking for a big OVER here. Both Kerr and Lisalo's main concepts mirror ragtag tempo pushes. 4-5 touches per possession, in under 15 seconds or less. Looks to be a highly offensive game, won't be surprised if it goes over 260 even lol. Have a feeling this is going overtime as well, even if no Ja. 133-129 MEM over GSW. < !<!<

COULDNT RESIST THIS LINE. Hopefully I'm right.

Send some love and support! Any amount is appreciated!

Pp: fightstar33@yahoo.com

Record: 143-78

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅

Net Units: +16.69u (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (NBA) Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers under 231.5 (-196) ✅

POTD: (NBA) Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies under 246.5 (-198) (8:10 PM EST) (ALT LINE)

Reasoning:

• Memphis and Golden State have played each other 3 times this year and all 3 games have gone under 246.5

• Memphis and Golden State both have gone under in 2 of their last 3 games

• Memphis are top 10 in multiple defensive shooting categories

• Golden State defense has been locked in as of late. They have held teams to 104 points per game in their last 3 games

• Memphis commit a lot of turnovers and Golden State are among the best at forcing turnovers

• Golden State is coming off a 148 point performance against the Spurs and Memphis play at the fastest pace in the league which has the public heavily betting on the over. However, Memphis is for the most part healthy and are on a back to back having lost 3 straight looking for a much needed win. On the other hand, Golden State has been a different team since Jimmy Butler arrived and is rested. GS should be locked in defensively in this important western conference matchup.

• Public fade

👇

Take the under 246.5 points in this game!

Record : 24-35

Net Units : -12.76 units

Win/Loss Tracker :

✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌❌❌❌❌✅✅

Last Pick - ✅ - LA Clippers -3 vs Orlando Magic

Today’s Pick - Baseball / MLB / San Diego Padres (F5) -0.5 vs Cleveland Guardians / -105 / 1 Unit Wager

Write up - Going with the San Diego Padres to cover the run line at -0.5 for the first five innings at -105. BOL 💯